What's next for the digital public library market?
Publishing Perspectives Forum, Frankfurt Book Fair
Public libraries were part of the Publishing Perspectives Forum for the first time – with a panel on a market that gets less attention at the fair than academic library business.
Published: 10.10.2026 | Foto / Video: Youtube
Moderator Andrew Richard Albanese, Editor-in-Chief of Publishing Perspectives, was joined by Micah May (Lyrasis/The Palace Project), Heather McCormack (OCLC CloudLibrary) and Brad Rose (Hoopla Digital). They discussed the future of the digital public library market: licensing models, the audiobook boom, and a conflict that is now landing on the desks of US state legislators.
"I've been covering this market for almost thirty years," Albanese noted in his introduction, and he looked back on a volatile history. In 1999, he recalled, NetLibrary had plenty of money, a campus in Colorado and more than 200 employees and began scanning books; a year later the company was gone. Steve Potash, by contrast, built OverDrive into what Albanese called pretty much a billion-dollar company in just over a decade. The US market didn't really gain momentum until around 2015, he said, when all the major publishers decided to bring their full catalogs into the public library market. "This is still a really young marketplace," he emphasized, and one that now has "a little bit of tension," especially in the United States, over pricing and terms.
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Three platforms, one audience
Hoopla and CloudLibrary serve public libraries only, with no schools or academic institutions; the Palace Project describes itself as built exclusively for libraries. The Palace Project, Micah May explained, is a nonprofit-driven ebook and audiobook distribution platform that grew out of a project he started at the New York Public Library in 2012, first called Library Simplified. The goal is to put libraries "more in the driver's seat": control over the patron relationship, data privacy and how books are surfaced on the digital shelf.
Hoopla Digital (Brad Rose) is part of Midwest Tape, which has supplied libraries with physical media since 1989. Hoopla launched in 2013 as a multimedia platform that combines TV, movies, music, audiobooks and ebooks in a single app. CloudLibrary (Heather McCormack) was founded at 3M around 2011 or 2012, when, by her recollection, downloading a library ebook took more than twenty steps. Since 2024 the platform has belonged to the library nonprofit OCLC.
The legacy of the "26 lends"
At the center of the discussion were the business models of digital lending. According to Albanese, the foundation of the business is still the controversial license HarperCollins introduced fifteen years ago: one copy, 26 lends, then it expires. "There were talks of boycotts. It was really tense," he recalled. Rose said the model has since come full circle; McCormack agreed and called it perhaps the most preferred model after perpetual "one copy, one user" licenses, which she sees predominantly at smaller publishers and some larger independent presses. She was not sure the market had reached its optimum yet.
The sharpest criticism was directed at time-based licenses, especially the two-year model used by a few of the Big Five. Books fall out of collections after two years, and the repurchase rate is very low, May said, potentially less than ten percent for most of the big publishers. "You want your three, four, five year old book to still be in a library." A selector can't justify repurchasing a four- or five-year-old title that will expire again after two years, so collections become heavily bestseller-driven, the opposite of what libraries want. Models metered by the number of lends rather than by time work much better, May said; Palace offers, among others, a model of 40 lends, ten at a time. He also described a recently launched Palace model that lets libraries own their digital books, with rights modeled on those for a print copy: it remains one copy, one user, and according to May more than 200,000 books are available under it. Libraries, he said, can feel secure in what they have purchased.
Rose cautioned that whether a 26-lend license is fair depends on the list price: at a list price of 500 dollars, it is still very expensive per lend. Hoopla offers all the major models, he said, but came to market in 2013 with pay-per-use, focused on discovery. When a library switches Hoopla on, the entire catalog goes live, and more than half a million unique ebook titles are checked out annually. For midlist and backlist titles, Rose said, the library is the best place to live: "It is the place for discovery."
McCormack praised a pivotal moment: Penguin Random House's pandemic terms in spring 2020, when the publisher made its complete list available in both audio and ebook on one-year and two-year licenses and on a pay-per-use model. That, she said, showed the rest of the industry that libraries are "a bona fide market adjacent to the retail market." Since COVID there has been "an absolute explosion of open mindedness," with more flexibility in models. Yet the bulk of a monthly budget still goes out every Tuesday to new releases, usually adult fiction by "the usual suspects." Little is left for the backlist, and what is left tends to go into the monthly pay-per-use pot, which runs out. One fundamental difference from print remains: under US first-sale doctrine, McCormack noted, libraries do not own digital content, they own the right to a license.
Audiobooks: the market's engine
Audio, Albanese noted, now drives an enormous part of digital demand in libraries. At CloudLibrary, McCormack said, audio started outselling ebooks two years ago. Romantic fantasy has displaced mystery/thriller/suspense as the long-time number one library genre, together with fusions of romance, fantasy and, increasingly, horror, which to her signals a younger reading base. "If you're a librarian out there, do not forget Gen Z," she appealed.
May pointed out that audiobook licenses at most of the Big Five are perpetual; in his view this shows that the model works, doesn't harm markets and is probably the better one. He also reminded the audience of audio's accessibility value, for instance for people with dyslexia or physical limitations that make reading hard.
Rose traced libraries' support for audio back to Midwest Tape's days in physical media and said the convenience of digital changed everything. Retail audio, he noted, tends to be credit- or time-based, and an Audible subscription in the US costs roughly 180 dollars, "a significant investment." His favorite proof came from a promotion: Pottermore made a Harry Potter title available at essentially no cost across retail platforms, including YouTube, and to library providers, and checkouts on Hoopla skyrocketed anyway. "People listen where they like to listen, they read where they wanna read."
The conflict: from embargo to legislation
"So now the fun starts," Albanese announced, and delivered a short history of escalation. The last time the issue was discussed at length at Frankfurt was 2018, when John Sargent of Macmillan was a guest, just after Macmillan had introduced its Tor embargo, which eventually covered the entire company. Then came the pandemic: people who could visit neither bookstores nor libraries discovered digital, and digital demand in libraries skyrocketed and, in Albanese's view, will not fall back. After the pandemic things calmed down: Macmillan abandoned its embargo, and Penguin Random House eased its terms. But the talked-about "reset" did not materialize.
The pandemic experience led to the first US library ebook law, in Maryland in 2021. It was about equity of access: a publisher that offered an ebook license to consumers had to offer one to libraries as well. The law was struck down because state law was preempted by copyright, which does not allow anyone to be compelled to offer a license. Now, in 2026, there is a new push for library ebook legislation in several states. The bills have passed in a few states but have not actually been enacted yet, Albanese said, though the effort is gaining steam. They take a different approach: they regulate libraries rather than publishers, barring them from signing contracts on terms that are unfair to libraries. No publisher is compelled to do anything, but the hope is that the laws will bring larger publishers to the table; the states' stake is that taxpayer money is spent equitably and properly. Albanese described the Big Five, who control the vast majority of library demand, as able to charge higher prices and impose more restrictive terms, which limits libraries' ability to collect widely and diversely.
May noted that even the big houses know libraries benefit authors: Penguin (before it was acquired by Random House) and Simon & Schuster pulled out of the library market around 2010 and later came back, having concluded from their own internal analysis that being in libraries is good for authors. The new laws, he said, rest on a consumer-protection theory, long the domain of the states, and are therefore unlikely to be struck down on federal copyright preemption as the Maryland law was. What they require is reasonable pricing, which seems reasonable on its face; the next debate will be over what a reasonable price is. Those pushing for the legislation are looking at a cost per lend of perhaps under two dollars, without time expirations.
"It feels like mom and dad are fighting"
Is legislation the right way? "It feels like mom and dad are fighting," Albanese lamented; libraries and publishers should be able to work this out among themselves. McCormack admitted mixed feelings: some publishers oppose the pending laws, and some librarians also find them "a bit punitive" and feel they are losing control. She has seen only progress since 2020, and the laws seem a little extreme to her. At the same time she acknowledged the real problem: budgets are tight and content is getting more expensive, audio in particular. May called the laws a statement of the level of frustration: librarians spend public funds and feel unable to provide the access that has been part of their history for over a hundred years.
Rose did not want to paint all publishers with one brush: he works with many that support libraries and seek dialogue, for example at the ALA conference. Others seem less inclined, he said, and he finds some publicly released studies "a little bit suspect" and does not think they help. One hopeful sign was the open letter to publishers from the Urban Libraries Council, which Rose recalled as being from May, shortly before ALA. It outlined challenges and frustrations but ended with an invitation to talk. It cited about 300 million dollars in spending by that group of libraries, Albanese confirmed. A customer spending that kind of money, Rose told the publishers in the room, is worth sitting down with: libraries want to spend it, and the aim should be to drive publishers' authors and lists.
There is also a market mechanism that works without any legislator, which May called the power of the purse. Libraries generally buy by the ratio of holds to copies: at a five-to-one ratio, five holds per copy trigger another purchase. Increasingly sophisticated collection development librarians differentiate that ratio by licensing model: a title under 40 dollars without a time limit is bought at three to one, while a title over 60 dollars or with a time limit may be allowed to go to eight or ten to one. This lets the market reward publishers with reasonable models through more sales and more discovery, May said, while hold lists get longer for titles on unfavorable terms, and librarians then explain to patrons why: for instance, because a title costs 85 dollars and expires after two years.
The public knows little about the debate. "This is inside baseball, and this is inside the inside." When librarians explain that libraries pay more for digital books than consumers do, and on different terms, most people are horrified, May said; many of the bills have passed unanimously or nearly so, across party lines.
The data gap
One factor behind the dispute is missing data, Rose argued: there is no good reporting on what libraries mean to the publishing ecosystem, which he sees as part of the reason questionable studies circulate and the public knows so little. OverDrive, which was not on the panel, releases some figures each year, he noted, but hard data is scarce. Authors and agents, in his experience, do not understand the market either, though they are key stakeholders. Albanese added that library sales are not broken out on authors' royalty statements.
Meanwhile, demand has grown so quickly that libraries have hit a crisis point, Albanese underscored: almost 50 percent of collection budgets now go to digital. Much of that money goes to meeting bestseller demand, so libraries cannot buy titles from independent publishers, and hold times for bestsellers are long because libraries can only afford so many copies. "Something needs to move here."
Team reading
How does the industry move forward? Micah May reached for a World Literacy Foundation study which, as he described it, finds that children growing up in households with a home library of more than 500 books are on average 3.2 years ahead in school, a factor more significant than race, family income or even parental education. "We're all on team reading," he said. The legislation is a symptom of frustration, and the frustration reflects a failure of imagination on the part of everyone involved. His plea: keep pushing for a diversity of models and reasonable prices. A better deal for libraries, whether through a lower price or a more permissive model, will never mean fewer library dollars going to books, he argued; it means "more titles available to more people."
Rose agreed with Albanese that librarians are tastemakers: "They can make authors." From his time running an audio publisher, he remembers independent and emerging authors coming up through library platforms and then rising in the retail charts; he compared the exposure to advertising that libraries are paying for. McCormack, finally, sees a generational shift under way. She is quite confident that "the sea change" is here: attitudes within the Big Five have shifted, and a new generation of library leadership is arriving. Today's bestselling authors "are not getting any younger," she said, so publishers need new backlist and new stars, and Gen Z and other readers will support them, with libraries playing a role in that star-making.
Albanese closed by tying the session to a theme running through the fair, the decline of reading: "Public libraries are the place where readers and writers are made." This, he promised, was the first of many discussions that will include public libraries at the Frankfurt Book Fair.